CEE MARKETS – Hungarian forint hovers at two-week low on concerns over EU funds

PRAGUE, September 15 (Reuters)The forint hovered near its lowest level in more than two weeks on Thursday, with the unit remaining weak following reports that the European Commission would recommend suspending billions of euros earmarked for Hungary.

After falling more than half a percent in the previous session, the forint EURHUF= recouped some losses to trade down 0.15% at 406.1 per euro, at 0938 GMT.

Two officials told Reuters the European Commission was due to recommend on Sunday the suspension of up to 70% of the 22.5 billion euros in cohesion funds earmarked for Hungary from the EU’s 2021-27 budget.

Hungary has long been locked in rule of law disputes with the EU, risking its funds, which has weighed on the forint, so far the worst performing currency in central Europe this year.

Stock indices in the region were mixed, Prague .PX climbing 1.5% to lead the gains, while Budapest .BUX down 0.5%.

The Czech crown EURCZK= and the Romanian leu EURRON= both calmed down.

In Poland, the zloty EURPLN= was flat after final inflation data confirmed a preliminary reading showing year-on-year price growth topped 16% last month.

With interest rates rising sharply in Central Europe over the past year, the data comes as Polish central bank governor Adam Glapinski said last week that rates could be maintained in October or slightly higher as high borrowing costs could weigh too heavily on the economy.

Traders turned to U.S. industrial and retail production data due for release later in the day, with the dollar near recent highs as the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to continue to tighten policy as expected. aggressively as it tries to rein in inflation.

“A potential source of volatility could turn out to be US data, which could affect the Polish currency through the Eurodollar channel,” Bank Millennium said.

CEE MARKETS

INSTANTANEOUS

At 11:38 CET

CURRENCIES

Last

Previous

Daily

To change

offer

close

change

in 2022

EURCZK=

Czech koruna

EURCZK=

24.5200

24.5050

-0.06%

+1.44%

EURHUF=

Hungarian forint

EURHUF=

406.1000

405.5000

-0.15%

-9.04%

EURPLN=

polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.7180

4.7175

-0.01%

-2.69%

EURRON=

lei in Romanian

EURRON=

4.9275

4.9251

-0.05%

+0.42%

EURHRK=

Croatian kuna

EURHRK=

7.5215

7.5194

-0.03%

-0.05%

EURRSD=

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.3000

117.3200

+0.02%

+0.24%

Note: daily change

calculated from

1800 CET

Last

Previous

Daily

To change

close

change

in 2022

.PX

prague

.PX

1252.72

1234.1600

+1.50%

#ASSESS!

.BUX

Budapest

.BUX

40962.39

41178.24

-0.52%

-19.24%

.WIG20

Warsaw

.WIG20

1530.67

1528.29

+0.16%

-32.48%

.BETI

Bucharest

.BETI

11854.93

11836.38

+0.16%

-9.24%

.SBITOP

Ljubljana

.SBITOP

1086.60

1077.98

+0.80%

-13.45%

.CRBEX

Zagreb

.CRBEX

1990.06

1983.17

+0.35%

-4.29%

.BELEX15

Belgrade

.BELEX15

834.79

842.58

-0.92%

+1.71%

.SOFIX

Sofia

.SOFIX

607.67

611.62

-0.65%

-4.41%

Yield

Yield

Spread

Daily

(offer)

change

vs. Bunds

to change

Czech Republic

spread

CZ2YT=RR

2 years

CZ2YT=RR

5.9980

-0.0250

+455bps

-7bps

CZ5YT=RR

5 years

CZ5YT=RR

4.9930

0.1640

+339 basis points

+12 basis points

CZ10YT=RR

10 years

CZ10YT=RR

4.6880

0.1370

+296 basis points

+10 basis points

Poland

PL2YT=RR

2 years

PL2YT=RR

6.5480

0.0260

+510 basis points

-2bps

PL5YT=RR

5 years

PL5YT=RR

6.5110

0.1120

+491 basis points

+7 basis points

PL10YT=RR

10 years

PL10YT=RR

6.0230

0.0550

+430 basis points

+2 base points

FORWARD

3×6

6×9

9×12

3M interbank

Czech Republic

CZKFRAPRIBOUR=

7.22

7.10

6.72

7.25

Hungary

OYSTERBUBOR=

14.17

2:40 p.m.

14.03

12.90

Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

7.51

7.53

7:40 a.m.

7.15

Note: ENG Quotes

are for asking prices

************************************************** **** ***********

(Reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips)

(([email protected]))

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Laura T. Thrasher